Another earthquake forecast area was hit as an Earthquake strikes the Southern Colorado fracking operation.
As we were expecting, a 3.1 magnitude earthquake struck due West of the large swarm of 4.0M+ events in Oklahoma. This was the area which I covered in yesterday’s earthquake forecast.
A zoom in on the coordinates for this Colorado event, epicenter location provided by the USGS, clearly shows a large fracking operation with the nearest well just 2,000 feet away.
This screenshot shows the nearest well with frack pond / oil – gas pump:
Yesterday , February 1 2015, I issued a new earthquake watch for the midwest due to the swarm of multiple 4.0M+ earthquakes which occurred in Oklahoma over the past 7 days (up to 2/1/2015).
The swarm of 4.0M earthquakes in Oklahoma (just East) is the cause of this lateral movement along the edge of the craton. Seen in this graphic below, the FIVE different 4.0M+ earthquakes shows how much stress the plate is under.
I issued this video below stating specifically to watch the area to the West of Oklahoma, naming out Southern Colorado (heard at about 2min 35sec):
This should be no shock to my viewers, as the new method for forecasting earthquakes is something that (at this point) should be making international news due to how accurate it has become.
Statistics below from the USGS:
|Magnitudeuncertainty||3.2 ml± 0.1|
|Locationuncertainty||37.067°N 104.968°W± 2.5 km|
|Depthuncertainty||5.0 km± 2.0|
|Origin Time||2015-02-02 14:10:12.830 UTC|
|Number of Stations||–|
|Number of Phases||22|
|Minimum Distance||88.94 km (0.80°)|
|Travel Time Residual||0.73 sec|
|FE Region||Colorado (479)|
Earthquakes in the Stable Continental Region
Natural Occurring Earthquake Activity
“Most of North America east of the Rocky Mountains has infrequent earthquakes. Here and there earthquakes are more numerous, for example in the New Madrid seismic zone centered on southeastern Missouri, in the Charlevoix-Kamouraska seismic zone of eastern Quebec, in New England, in the New York – Philadelphia – Wilmington urban corridor, and elsewhere. However, most of the enormous region from the Rockies to the Atlantic can go years without an earthquake large enough to be felt, and several U.S. states have never reported a damaging earthquake.
Earthquakes east of the Rocky Mountains, although less frequent than in the West, are typically felt over a much broader region than earthquakes of similar magnitude in the west. East of the Rockies, an earthquake can be felt over an area more than ten times larger than a similar magnitude earthquake on the west coast. It would not be unusual for a magnitude 4.0 earthquake in eastern or central North America to be felt by a significant percentage of the population in many communities more than 100 km (60 mi) from its source. A magnitude 5.5 earthquake in eastern or central North America might be felt by much of the population out to more than 500 km (300 mi) from its source. Earthquakes east of the Rockies that are centered in populated areas and large enough to cause damage are, similarly, likely to cause damage out to greater distances than earthquakes of the same magnitude centered in western North America.
Most earthquakes in North America east of the Rockies occur as faulting within bedrock, usually miles deep. Few earthquakes east of the Rockies, however, have been definitely linked to mapped geologic faults, in contrast to the situation at plate boundaries such as California’s San Andreas fault system, where scientists can commonly use geologic evidence to identify a fault that has produced a large earthquake and that is likely to produce large future earthquakes. Scientists who study eastern and central North America earthquakes often work from the hypothesis that modern earthquakes occur as the result of slip on preexisting faults that were formed in earlier geologic eras and that have been reactivated under the current stress conditions. The bedrock of Eastern North America is, however, laced with faults that were active in earlier geologic eras, and few of these faults are known to have been active in the current geologic era. In most areas east of the Rockies, the likelihood of future damaging earthquakes is currently estimated from the frequencies and sizes of instrumentally recorded earthquakes or earthquakes documented in historical records.
As is the case elsewhere in the world, there is evidence that some central and eastern North America earthquakes have been triggered or caused by human activities that have altered the stress conditions in earth’s crust sufficiently to induce faulting. Activities that have induced felt earthquakes in some geologic environments have included impoundment of water behind dams, injection of fluid into the earth’s crust, extraction of fluid or gas, and removal of rock in mining or quarrying operations. In much of eastern and central North America, the number of earthquakes suspected of having been induced is much smaller than the number of natural earthquakes, but in some regions, such as the south-central states of the U.S., a significant majority of recent earthquakes are thought by many seismologists to have been human-induced. Even within areas with many human-induced earthquakes, however, the activity that seems to induce seismicity at one location may be taking place at many other locations without inducing felt earthquakes. In addition, regions with frequent induced earthquakes may also be subject to damaging earthquakes that would have occurred independently of human activity. Making a strong scientific case for a causative link between a particular human activity and a particular sequence of earthquakes typically involves special studies devoted specifically to the question. Such investigations usually address the process by which the suspected triggering activity might have significantly altered stresses in the bedrock at the earthquake source, and they commonly address the ways in which the characteristics of the suspected human-triggered earthquakes differ from the characteristics of natural earthquakes in the region.”
Previous Earthquake forecast now fully complete, with all areas named being hit within approximately 1 week of issuing the forecast.
The last area to be hit was DIRECTLY in Algeria.
Switzerland, Poland, UK, and Algeria… all hit in the timeframe called for… hit within a week of being forecast.
The European earthquake forecast from a week ago called for movement from Algeria to Gibralter.
On 1/23 I issued the European watch video:
Quote the forecast:
“New watch for Europe as of 930am GMT January 23 2015 .
Watch the region for more movement now that Italy is showing heavy swarm activity.
We need to watch further North in Germany and Switzerland. Poland, maybe even Holland and the UK will see some action in the near term (next 5-7 days or less).
Not huge action, but noteworthy for the area… if it dies out over the next couple days, we’ll be lucky. Until then .. now watch central North Europe, and almost forgot to mention to watch the directly from Algeria to Gibralter! Solid as a rock? Not when the rock below the rock is moving.
After we see movement in Italy, we always see movement in the adjacent areas North, and West in the Mediterranean.”
So far.. since issuing the forecast for Poland, Switzerland, England, and Algeria, two very rare earthquakes … 3.9M and 2.9M hit England.
2.8M hit Switzerland
4.3M hit Poland.
Earthquakes can indeed be forecast.